{
  "date": "2026-10-01",
  "title": "制造业景气与假日出行",
  "url": "https://daily.yisiliu.io/20261001/",
  "summary": "9月制造业PMI回到扩张区间，中小企业仍承压。国庆高速免费开始，省费个案不能代替拥堵判断；沪杭今天各选四场活动，论文关注调度成本与机器人补救学习。",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-01T07:43:53.952202+08:00",
  "sections": [
    {
      "id": "judgment",
      "title": "今日判断",
      "content": "制造业总指数回升，订单和用工的分项表现却没有同步增强，不能把50.1%读成全面复苏。高速免费带来的省费可直接计算，排队代价还需分钟级车流证据。杭州“琮谱”个人免预约、免费入馆，与晚间不可退换的票务演出是不同的出行选择。"
    },
    {
      "id": "macro",
      "title": "宏观／金融／政策",
      "items": [
        {
          "id": "macro_pmi",
          "category": "macro",
          "title": "制造业PMI回到50.1%，中小企业仍低于临界点",
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:30:00+08:00",
          "summary": "国家统计局9月30日公布，9月制造业PMI为50.1%，较上月上升0.3个百分点。生产指数升至51.7%，新订单指数却略降至50.5%；中、小型企业PMI均低于50%。总量回暖尚未覆盖所有企业，用工指数也降至48.4%。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "国家统计局",
              "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202609/t20260930_1965449.html"
            }
          ],
          "source_name": "国家统计局",
          "source_url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202609/t20260930_1965449.html"
        },
        {
          "id": "macro_vat",
          "category": "macro",
          "title": "留抵退税新政一年办理2818亿元，制造业获1914亿元",
          "published_at": "2026-09-29T21:05:00+08:00",
          "summary": "税务总局9月29日披露，留抵退税新政实施一年来累计办理2818亿元，其中制造业享受1914亿元。报道汇总的是2025年9月起政策的执行结果；企业仍需按所属行业与退税条件核对资格，不能将累计退税额当作本轮新增财政额度。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "新华社／中国政府网",
              "url": "https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/202609/content_7082398.htm"
            }
          ],
          "source_name": "新华社／中国政府网",
          "source_url": "https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/202609/content_7082398.htm"
        },
        {
          "id": "macro_sports",
          "category": "macro",
          "title": "赛事消费新意见公布，票根优惠与办赛融资列入支持方向",
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T17:00:00+08:00",
          "summary": "国办9月30日公布发展体育赛事、激发消费活力的意见，鼓励商家推出赛事票根优惠，并用好服务消费与养老再贷款等工具支持符合条件的办赛主体。文件提出到2030年基本形成现代化赛事体系，未给出全国统一的消费补贴金额；具体优惠仍要看地方及商家安排。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "中国政府网",
              "url": "https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202609/content_7082492.htm"
            }
          ],
          "source_name": "中国政府网",
          "source_url": "https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202609/content_7082492.htm"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "hotspots",
      "title": "中文互联网热点／讨论场",
      "items": [
        {
          "id": "highway-midnight-free",
          "title": "高速零时免费：省下通行费，不等于省下出行成本",
          "fact_description": "10月1日零时，国庆假期小客车免费通行开始。极目新闻记者在武汉龚家岭收费站现场看到车辆零时后出站：从广州出发的谢先生说，平常通行费约560多元；从嘉兴来武汉的王女士称省了四百多元，也说雨天堵车让行程耗时十几个小时。两笔节省金额都是受访者自述，并非全国平均。新华社9月24日已报道，政策适用于7座及以下小客车，免费时段至10月7日24时。免费时段按车辆驶离高速公路出口收费车道的时间计算。",
          "discussion": "新华社的报道把重点放在适用车辆与日期；极目新闻则呈现车主的省钱账和赶路成本。百度热榜标题突出“省下560多元”，但榜单不提供司机对卡点出站的态度分布。",
          "near_model": {
            "name": "门槛激励与时点聚集",
            "text": "公共经济学的门槛激励在此取决于出口计时：出口时刻跨过零点，收费结果发生跳变，而旅程长度没有同步变化。可调整出站时间的人因此有等待动机。谢先生称自己“刚好”抵达。现场报道未说明其他车辆是否主动等待。"
          },
          "far_model": {
            "name": "非平稳排队论",
            "text": "运筹学中的非平稳排队论关注短时到达率与放行能力之差，全天车流总量会掩盖瞬时拥挤。若免费后放行加快，即使车辆更多，队列也未必更长；只拿热搜标题判断堵车，缺少服务能力这一半。"
          },
          "boundary": "模型边界在于，现场采访没有给出零点前后的队列长度，也没有区分主动等候与正常行驶。省钱个案不能换算成整个假期的净福利。",
          "next_variables": "收费站逐分钟的到达量与放行量，连同出站前的停留位置和时长，才能检验卡点出站是否造成额外排队。对出行者，切勿把卡点省费理解成可以在匝道或应急车道停车。",
          "category": "hotspot",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "极目新闻，凤凰网大风号转载",
              "url": "https://news.ifeng.com/c/8wquslCJZMP"
            },
            {
              "name": "新华社",
              "url": "https://www.news.cn/20260924/c66b5a58f458494899252a81db68c166/c.html"
            },
            {
              "name": "百度实时热榜",
              "url": "https://top.baidu.com/board?tab=realtime"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "flydubai-new-account",
          "title": "迪拜航空凌晨新增处置报道，冲突动机仍未查明",
          "fact_description": "10月1日凌晨，迪拜航空驾驶舱冲突有了新的处置报道。卫星通讯社02时发布、02时45分更新的消息引述航司方面说法称，机组人员控制局面，改变航线，将飞机安全降落在沙特塔布克机场；冲突原因目前无法透露。财联社04时36分的报道另引述以色列机场管理局称，搭载原FZ1073航班乘客的替代航班已抵达本－古里安机场。原航班事件发生于当地9月30日，今晨报道补充了备降处置与乘客转运情况，冲突原因仍待调查。",
          "discussion": "微博作者“津门玄竹”在今晨帖子中转述袭击说法，同时提醒沙特尚未公布权威结论；卫星通讯社正文收窄到航司确认的处置经过。前者围绕责任性质，后者保留原因空白。这是一条微博与一篇报道的差别，不能代表两边公众的整体判断。",
          "near_model": {
            "name": "纵深防御与机组资源管理",
            "text": "安全工程的纵深防御依靠多道防线：驾驶舱内部失效后，其他机组人员介入和备降构成后续防线。一次获救说明这些环节在该次事件中发挥作用，不能反推人员筛查已经充分，也不能凭乘客参与就断言某个具体驾驶程序被执行。"
          },
          "far_model": {
            "name": "证词依赖的贝叶斯更新",
            "text": "统计推断需要区分独立证据与同一消息的转载：多个账号转述同一消息，不等于新增多份独立证据。若把每次转载都当作独立支持，读者对动机的确信会被重复计算推高。应追溯最初发言者，再区分目击、转述与推测，而非按转发数量判断真伪。"
          },
          "boundary": "边界是没有驾驶舱录音和完整调查材料；两套模型都不能识别谁实施了何种行为。报道正文能支持安全降落，不能支持网传的飞行员国籍组合。",
          "next_variables": "调查机关对行为经过的认定、航司声明原文及其修订记录仍有待跟进。恢复航班或乘客转运属于运营处置，不能充当动机查明的替代指标。",
          "category": "hotspot",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "俄罗斯卫星通讯社",
              "url": "https://sputniknews.cn/20261001/1073453965.html"
            },
            {
              "name": "财联社官方网易号",
              "url": "https://c.m.163.com/news/a/L84KSKHT05198CJN.html"
            },
            {
              "name": "微博／津门玄竹",
              "url": "https://weibo.com/5865955200/RkB8o6LvF?refer_flag=1001030103_"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "local-life",
      "title": "上海与杭州今天可以做什么",
      "summary": "表内为10月1日场次。秀动票价按今晨挂牌销售窗列出，不保证余票或即时出票；售票截止不等于最晚入场。秀动票品售出原则上不退换，不可抗力取消或延期除外。未列明的年龄、实名与出票条件须在下单页确认。",
      "items": [
        {
          "time": "13:00–22:40（12:30入场；20:40–22:40为终演后物贩）",
          "title": "熊猫REMUA • 2026.10.01生诞 • 「一件白色短袖」",
          "venue": "聚一场IDOL 南京西路新世界店",
          "address": "上海市黄浦区南京西路2-68号 新世界12楼聚一场8号馆",
          "why": "生诞主题多组偶像演出。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590",
          "id": "event-0",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "上海",
          "price": "88元；78元预售已截止。销售至20:40。",
          "restrictions": "售票截止不代表可迟到入场。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0926/13/00/ce9e535e93ab481eb960a8338453d14f_1620_2198_1281145.0x0.png"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "15:00–17:00",
          "title": "《梁祝 · 黄河 · 鸿雁》 东方传世名曲与影视金曲音乐会",
          "venue": "上海保利大剧院",
          "address": "嘉定新城白银路159号",
          "why": "以室内乐演绎《梁祝》《鸿雁》及影视金曲。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026",
          "id": "event-1",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "上海",
          "price": "180元起。",
          "restrictions": "上海保利大剧院小剧场；15:59是售票截止，15:00开演。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0819/19/00/9663141de54248e9aa9636c127546229_1290_1720_215794.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "18:20–19:50（18:00入场）",
          "title": "心率研究所ONEMAN TOUR「心率逃逸计划」巡演上海站",
          "venue": "育音堂小镇 C厅 YUYINTOWN CUBE ",
          "address": "上海市长宁区昭化路658号CPARK.D栋 地下一层",
          "why": "48元普通票提供较低门槛的单团偶像现场，开演较早。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123",
          "id": "event-2",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "上海",
          "price": "普票48元；VIP128元、SVIP328元。销售至19:00。",
          "restrictions": "VIP和SVIP权益不同；海报分别限20位、10位。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0922/13/00/8713451141a84a1eba9080e80834f0c5_1364_2046_2553757.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "20:30–23:00（18:00开门入场）",
          "title": "致敬英国摇滚传奇殿堂 皇后乐队之夜THE BRITISH INVASION: QUEEN NIGHT",
          "venue": "珍珠剧场 THE PEARL",
          "address": "上海市虹口区乍浦路471号靠近武进路",
          "why": "以皇后及英伦摇滚经典为主题，适合成人夜间现场；须接受致敬演出及不保座安排。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015",
          "id": "event-3",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "上海",
          "price": "预售150元至19:00；全价180元至22:00。",
          "restrictions": "仅限18岁及以上；驻场乐队致敬演出，非皇后乐队本人出演。不保证座位；卡座、包厢有最低消费。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/15e212375614459f9241192d96f76a4f_2500_2729_484920.0x0.jpg"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/90373ad6d1d54057a1afc88758418954_1025_4288_872411.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "09:00–17:00（16:30停止入馆；展期2026年9月12日–11月29日）",
          "title": "琮谱——良渚遗址发现九十周年特展",
          "venue": "良渚博物院一楼临展厅",
          "address": "杭州市余杭区美丽洲路1号",
          "why": "全国39家文博单位的124件（组）玉琮集中呈现五千年发展脉络；国庆公益讲解场次以馆内电子屏为准。",
          "source_name": "良渚博物院",
          "source_url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html",
          "id": "event-4",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "杭州",
          "price": "临展免费。",
          "restrictions": "个人无需预约，凭有效身份证件入馆；团队须预约。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "良渚博物院",
              "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html"
            },
            {
              "name": "良渚博物院",
              "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026685246682.html"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "19:00开演（页面列至21:00，主办须知注明散场时间不定；普通票18:20入场）",
          "title": "王澳楠EVE「少女心事」首张EP同名巡演-杭州站",
          "venue": "蛙厂RMMF·杭州·新天地店",
          "address": "浙江省杭州市拱墅区新北街85号G2-203-1号",
          "why": "首张EP同名巡演，以个人创作和少女心绪为主线。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888",
          "id": "event-5",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "杭州",
          "price": "早鸟168元、全价198元、EVIP258元；销售至20:00。",
          "restrictions": "强实名，人、证、票一致；不支持转赠。全站席，EVIP无专属区。散场时间不定，勿按21:00必散场安排。EVIP 16:00–17:30取号、18:00入场；权益及周边须现场领取，逾期不补。签售凭证为EVIP手环及实体周边，遗失不补。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0904/10/00/1046a7f64df347b0bccf9ebf1dde9ec2_750_8660_2449082.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "19:30–21:00",
          "title": "盛世长歌《我和我的祖国》传世经典作品钢琴音乐会",
          "venue": "浙江省文化馆小剧场",
          "address": "杭州市拱墅区武林路77号小剧场",
          "why": "刘思思以钢琴演绎《浏阳河》《梁祝》《我和我的祖国》等作品。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760",
          "id": "event-6",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "杭州",
          "price": "100元起；销售至21:00。",
          "restrictions": "曲目以现场为准。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0817/16/00/199e5bd3ed424a0090ac058c8f640bcf_3400_4580_4745333.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "time": "20:00–22:00",
          "title": "「弦·无界」友北五重奏 加拿大融合爵士",
          "venue": "酒球会",
          "address": "杭州市西湖区万塘路262号酒球会(杭州店)",
          "why": "独弦琴、二胡等亚洲乐器与北美爵士融合。",
          "source_name": "秀动",
          "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011",
          "id": "event-7",
          "category": "event",
          "date": "2026-10-01",
          "city": "杭州",
          "price": "预售128元至20:00；全价168元至22:00。",
          "restrictions": "销售截止不等于迟到入场许可。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "秀动",
              "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011"
            },
            {
              "name": "秀动活动配图",
              "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0921/16/30/262b0ce8634d4a57b5486fafada7b354_3000_4500_1828862.0x0.jpg"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ai",
      "title": "AI／开发者工具",
      "items": [
        {
          "id": "tool_claude_code",
          "category": "tool",
          "title": "Claude Code更新会话恢复与命令超时行为",
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:10:13Z",
          "summary": "Claude Code v2.1.286的官方说明称，崩溃后恢复会话时，部分并行工具调用之后的对话丢失问题已修复。在--bare模式下，超时的shell命令现在会停止，不再转入后台。依赖超时任务自动转入后台的脚本，需要按这一变更调整。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Anthropic GitHub release",
              "url": "https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/releases/tag/v2.1.286"
            }
          ],
          "source_name": "Anthropic GitHub release",
          "source_url": "https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/releases/tag/v2.1.286"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "papers",
      "title": "今日新论文",
      "summary": "本期选自arXiv 9月30日列表，三篇v1均于北京时间9月30日提交。实验结果来自作者报告，尚非独立复现。",
      "items": [
        {
          "id": "2609.38147v1",
          "title": "Thinking Before Thinking: Scaling Agentic Inference Through Meta-Reasoning",
          "headline": "把任务调度单独交给一个会推理的控制器",
          "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:57:25Z",
          "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
          "version": "v1",
          "category": "paper",
          "summary": "论文将任务执行与调度分开：工作代理处理具体任务，控制器依据持久记忆与剩余预算决定下一步。作者在ProgramBench上报告，使用GPT-5.5的系统取得71.5%的平均逐题测试通过率，对照Codex为58.0%；这不是整题完成率。控制器调用也计入预算，但小预算下额外调度成本会拖累表现。对长任务系统，更值得检验的是调度收益能否覆盖额外开销。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "arXiv论文全文",
              "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1"
            }
          ],
          "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1",
          "source_name": "arXiv"
        },
        {
          "id": "2609.38143v1",
          "title": "Learning Meta-Skills for Agent Harness Design in Test-Time AI4AI",
          "headline": "先学习怎样搭建执行环境，再让代理解题",
          "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:55:56Z",
          "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
          "version": "v1",
          "category": "paper",
          "summary": "研究让Builder从开发集执行反馈中学习支持规则，再把冻结的规则库用于新任务的执行环境搭建，双方模型权重均不更新。在Harness-Bench与NewtonBench上，完整规则库方案的宏平均分为65.31%，无规则库Builder为56.36%，把同一规则库直接交给执行代理则为53.29%。这提示经验需要转成可执行的支持机制；但论文的固定执行预算不包含Builder搭建环境的计算成本，不能据此声称整套系统更省钱。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "arXiv论文全文",
              "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1"
            }
          ],
          "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1",
          "source_name": "arXiv"
        },
        {
          "id": "2609.38178v1",
          "title": "Skill-Space Shooting for Autonomous Robot Policy Improvement",
          "headline": "让机器人把局部补救动作学回主策略",
          "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:59:55Z",
          "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
          "version": "v1",
          "category": "paper",
          "summary": "机器人遇到失败时，系统从已学技能中选择补救动作，将成功片段积累成训练数据。作者在四项真实机器人任务中测试；抽屉任务初始20次评估均未成功，一轮更新后，不借助补救系统的策略成功了7次。研究的关键是补救经验能否留在主策略里。实验仍依赖初始示范和人工重置场景，每种方法在每个任务上只运行一次，尚不能外推为无人值守的普遍自学习能力。",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "arXiv论文全文",
              "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1"
            }
          ],
          "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1",
          "source_name": "arXiv"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "items": [
    {
      "id": "macro_pmi",
      "category": "macro",
      "title": "制造业PMI回到50.1%，中小企业仍低于临界点",
      "published_at": "2026-09-30T09:30:00+08:00",
      "summary": "国家统计局9月30日公布，9月制造业PMI为50.1%，较上月上升0.3个百分点。生产指数升至51.7%，新订单指数却略降至50.5%；中、小型企业PMI均低于50%。总量回暖尚未覆盖所有企业，用工指数也降至48.4%。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "国家统计局",
          "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202609/t20260930_1965449.html"
        }
      ],
      "source_name": "国家统计局",
      "source_url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202609/t20260930_1965449.html"
    },
    {
      "id": "macro_vat",
      "category": "macro",
      "title": "留抵退税新政一年办理2818亿元，制造业获1914亿元",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T21:05:00+08:00",
      "summary": "税务总局9月29日披露，留抵退税新政实施一年来累计办理2818亿元，其中制造业享受1914亿元。报道汇总的是2025年9月起政策的执行结果；企业仍需按所属行业与退税条件核对资格，不能将累计退税额当作本轮新增财政额度。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "新华社／中国政府网",
          "url": "https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/202609/content_7082398.htm"
        }
      ],
      "source_name": "新华社／中国政府网",
      "source_url": "https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/202609/content_7082398.htm"
    },
    {
      "id": "macro_sports",
      "category": "macro",
      "title": "赛事消费新意见公布，票根优惠与办赛融资列入支持方向",
      "published_at": "2026-09-30T17:00:00+08:00",
      "summary": "国办9月30日公布发展体育赛事、激发消费活力的意见，鼓励商家推出赛事票根优惠，并用好服务消费与养老再贷款等工具支持符合条件的办赛主体。文件提出到2030年基本形成现代化赛事体系，未给出全国统一的消费补贴金额；具体优惠仍要看地方及商家安排。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "中国政府网",
          "url": "https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202609/content_7082492.htm"
        }
      ],
      "source_name": "中国政府网",
      "source_url": "https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202609/content_7082492.htm"
    },
    {
      "id": "tool_claude_code",
      "category": "tool",
      "title": "Claude Code更新会话恢复与命令超时行为",
      "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:10:13Z",
      "summary": "Claude Code v2.1.286的官方说明称，崩溃后恢复会话时，部分并行工具调用之后的对话丢失问题已修复。在--bare模式下，超时的shell命令现在会停止，不再转入后台。依赖超时任务自动转入后台的脚本，需要按这一变更调整。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "Anthropic GitHub release",
          "url": "https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/releases/tag/v2.1.286"
        }
      ],
      "source_name": "Anthropic GitHub release",
      "source_url": "https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/releases/tag/v2.1.286"
    },
    {
      "id": "highway-midnight-free",
      "title": "高速零时免费：省下通行费，不等于省下出行成本",
      "fact_description": "10月1日零时，国庆假期小客车免费通行开始。极目新闻记者在武汉龚家岭收费站现场看到车辆零时后出站：从广州出发的谢先生说，平常通行费约560多元；从嘉兴来武汉的王女士称省了四百多元，也说雨天堵车让行程耗时十几个小时。两笔节省金额都是受访者自述，并非全国平均。新华社9月24日已报道，政策适用于7座及以下小客车，免费时段至10月7日24时。免费时段按车辆驶离高速公路出口收费车道的时间计算。",
      "discussion": "新华社的报道把重点放在适用车辆与日期；极目新闻则呈现车主的省钱账和赶路成本。百度热榜标题突出“省下560多元”，但榜单不提供司机对卡点出站的态度分布。",
      "near_model": {
        "name": "门槛激励与时点聚集",
        "text": "公共经济学的门槛激励在此取决于出口计时：出口时刻跨过零点，收费结果发生跳变，而旅程长度没有同步变化。可调整出站时间的人因此有等待动机。谢先生称自己“刚好”抵达。现场报道未说明其他车辆是否主动等待。"
      },
      "far_model": {
        "name": "非平稳排队论",
        "text": "运筹学中的非平稳排队论关注短时到达率与放行能力之差，全天车流总量会掩盖瞬时拥挤。若免费后放行加快，即使车辆更多，队列也未必更长；只拿热搜标题判断堵车，缺少服务能力这一半。"
      },
      "boundary": "模型边界在于，现场采访没有给出零点前后的队列长度，也没有区分主动等候与正常行驶。省钱个案不能换算成整个假期的净福利。",
      "next_variables": "收费站逐分钟的到达量与放行量，连同出站前的停留位置和时长，才能检验卡点出站是否造成额外排队。对出行者，切勿把卡点省费理解成可以在匝道或应急车道停车。",
      "category": "hotspot",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "极目新闻，凤凰网大风号转载",
          "url": "https://news.ifeng.com/c/8wquslCJZMP"
        },
        {
          "name": "新华社",
          "url": "https://www.news.cn/20260924/c66b5a58f458494899252a81db68c166/c.html"
        },
        {
          "name": "百度实时热榜",
          "url": "https://top.baidu.com/board?tab=realtime"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "flydubai-new-account",
      "title": "迪拜航空凌晨新增处置报道，冲突动机仍未查明",
      "fact_description": "10月1日凌晨，迪拜航空驾驶舱冲突有了新的处置报道。卫星通讯社02时发布、02时45分更新的消息引述航司方面说法称，机组人员控制局面，改变航线，将飞机安全降落在沙特塔布克机场；冲突原因目前无法透露。财联社04时36分的报道另引述以色列机场管理局称，搭载原FZ1073航班乘客的替代航班已抵达本－古里安机场。原航班事件发生于当地9月30日，今晨报道补充了备降处置与乘客转运情况，冲突原因仍待调查。",
      "discussion": "微博作者“津门玄竹”在今晨帖子中转述袭击说法，同时提醒沙特尚未公布权威结论；卫星通讯社正文收窄到航司确认的处置经过。前者围绕责任性质，后者保留原因空白。这是一条微博与一篇报道的差别，不能代表两边公众的整体判断。",
      "near_model": {
        "name": "纵深防御与机组资源管理",
        "text": "安全工程的纵深防御依靠多道防线：驾驶舱内部失效后，其他机组人员介入和备降构成后续防线。一次获救说明这些环节在该次事件中发挥作用，不能反推人员筛查已经充分，也不能凭乘客参与就断言某个具体驾驶程序被执行。"
      },
      "far_model": {
        "name": "证词依赖的贝叶斯更新",
        "text": "统计推断需要区分独立证据与同一消息的转载：多个账号转述同一消息，不等于新增多份独立证据。若把每次转载都当作独立支持，读者对动机的确信会被重复计算推高。应追溯最初发言者，再区分目击、转述与推测，而非按转发数量判断真伪。"
      },
      "boundary": "边界是没有驾驶舱录音和完整调查材料；两套模型都不能识别谁实施了何种行为。报道正文能支持安全降落，不能支持网传的飞行员国籍组合。",
      "next_variables": "调查机关对行为经过的认定、航司声明原文及其修订记录仍有待跟进。恢复航班或乘客转运属于运营处置，不能充当动机查明的替代指标。",
      "category": "hotspot",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "俄罗斯卫星通讯社",
          "url": "https://sputniknews.cn/20261001/1073453965.html"
        },
        {
          "name": "财联社官方网易号",
          "url": "https://c.m.163.com/news/a/L84KSKHT05198CJN.html"
        },
        {
          "name": "微博／津门玄竹",
          "url": "https://weibo.com/5865955200/RkB8o6LvF?refer_flag=1001030103_"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "13:00–22:40（12:30入场；20:40–22:40为终演后物贩）",
      "title": "熊猫REMUA • 2026.10.01生诞 • 「一件白色短袖」",
      "venue": "聚一场IDOL 南京西路新世界店",
      "address": "上海市黄浦区南京西路2-68号 新世界12楼聚一场8号馆",
      "why": "生诞主题多组偶像演出。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590",
      "id": "event-0",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "上海",
      "price": "88元；78元预售已截止。销售至20:40。",
      "restrictions": "售票截止不代表可迟到入场。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0926/13/00/ce9e535e93ab481eb960a8338453d14f_1620_2198_1281145.0x0.png"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "15:00–17:00",
      "title": "《梁祝 · 黄河 · 鸿雁》 东方传世名曲与影视金曲音乐会",
      "venue": "上海保利大剧院",
      "address": "嘉定新城白银路159号",
      "why": "以室内乐演绎《梁祝》《鸿雁》及影视金曲。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026",
      "id": "event-1",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "上海",
      "price": "180元起。",
      "restrictions": "上海保利大剧院小剧场；15:59是售票截止，15:00开演。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0819/19/00/9663141de54248e9aa9636c127546229_1290_1720_215794.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "18:20–19:50（18:00入场）",
      "title": "心率研究所ONEMAN TOUR「心率逃逸计划」巡演上海站",
      "venue": "育音堂小镇 C厅 YUYINTOWN CUBE ",
      "address": "上海市长宁区昭化路658号CPARK.D栋 地下一层",
      "why": "48元普通票提供较低门槛的单团偶像现场，开演较早。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123",
      "id": "event-2",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "上海",
      "price": "普票48元；VIP128元、SVIP328元。销售至19:00。",
      "restrictions": "VIP和SVIP权益不同；海报分别限20位、10位。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0922/13/00/8713451141a84a1eba9080e80834f0c5_1364_2046_2553757.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "20:30–23:00（18:00开门入场）",
      "title": "致敬英国摇滚传奇殿堂 皇后乐队之夜THE BRITISH INVASION: QUEEN NIGHT",
      "venue": "珍珠剧场 THE PEARL",
      "address": "上海市虹口区乍浦路471号靠近武进路",
      "why": "以皇后及英伦摇滚经典为主题，适合成人夜间现场；须接受致敬演出及不保座安排。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015",
      "id": "event-3",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "上海",
      "price": "预售150元至19:00；全价180元至22:00。",
      "restrictions": "仅限18岁及以上；驻场乐队致敬演出，非皇后乐队本人出演。不保证座位；卡座、包厢有最低消费。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/15e212375614459f9241192d96f76a4f_2500_2729_484920.0x0.jpg"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/90373ad6d1d54057a1afc88758418954_1025_4288_872411.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "09:00–17:00（16:30停止入馆；展期2026年9月12日–11月29日）",
      "title": "琮谱——良渚遗址发现九十周年特展",
      "venue": "良渚博物院一楼临展厅",
      "address": "杭州市余杭区美丽洲路1号",
      "why": "全国39家文博单位的124件（组）玉琮集中呈现五千年发展脉络；国庆公益讲解场次以馆内电子屏为准。",
      "source_name": "良渚博物院",
      "source_url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html",
      "id": "event-4",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "杭州",
      "price": "临展免费。",
      "restrictions": "个人无需预约，凭有效身份证件入馆；团队须预约。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "良渚博物院",
          "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html"
        },
        {
          "name": "良渚博物院",
          "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026685246682.html"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "19:00开演（页面列至21:00，主办须知注明散场时间不定；普通票18:20入场）",
      "title": "王澳楠EVE「少女心事」首张EP同名巡演-杭州站",
      "venue": "蛙厂RMMF·杭州·新天地店",
      "address": "浙江省杭州市拱墅区新北街85号G2-203-1号",
      "why": "首张EP同名巡演，以个人创作和少女心绪为主线。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888",
      "id": "event-5",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "杭州",
      "price": "早鸟168元、全价198元、EVIP258元；销售至20:00。",
      "restrictions": "强实名，人、证、票一致；不支持转赠。全站席，EVIP无专属区。散场时间不定，勿按21:00必散场安排。EVIP 16:00–17:30取号、18:00入场；权益及周边须现场领取，逾期不补。签售凭证为EVIP手环及实体周边，遗失不补。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0904/10/00/1046a7f64df347b0bccf9ebf1dde9ec2_750_8660_2449082.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "19:30–21:00",
      "title": "盛世长歌《我和我的祖国》传世经典作品钢琴音乐会",
      "venue": "浙江省文化馆小剧场",
      "address": "杭州市拱墅区武林路77号小剧场",
      "why": "刘思思以钢琴演绎《浏阳河》《梁祝》《我和我的祖国》等作品。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760",
      "id": "event-6",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "杭州",
      "price": "100元起；销售至21:00。",
      "restrictions": "曲目以现场为准。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0817/16/00/199e5bd3ed424a0090ac058c8f640bcf_3400_4580_4745333.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "time": "20:00–22:00",
      "title": "「弦·无界」友北五重奏 加拿大融合爵士",
      "venue": "酒球会",
      "address": "杭州市西湖区万塘路262号酒球会(杭州店)",
      "why": "独弦琴、二胡等亚洲乐器与北美爵士融合。",
      "source_name": "秀动",
      "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011",
      "id": "event-7",
      "category": "event",
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "city": "杭州",
      "price": "预售128元至20:00；全价168元至22:00。",
      "restrictions": "销售截止不等于迟到入场许可。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "秀动",
          "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011"
        },
        {
          "name": "秀动活动配图",
          "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0921/16/30/262b0ce8634d4a57b5486fafada7b354_3000_4500_1828862.0x0.jpg"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "2609.38147v1",
      "title": "Thinking Before Thinking: Scaling Agentic Inference Through Meta-Reasoning",
      "headline": "把任务调度单独交给一个会推理的控制器",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:57:25Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "论文将任务执行与调度分开：工作代理处理具体任务，控制器依据持久记忆与剩余预算决定下一步。作者在ProgramBench上报告，使用GPT-5.5的系统取得71.5%的平均逐题测试通过率，对照Codex为58.0%；这不是整题完成率。控制器调用也计入预算，但小预算下额外调度成本会拖累表现。对长任务系统，更值得检验的是调度收益能否覆盖额外开销。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    },
    {
      "id": "2609.38143v1",
      "title": "Learning Meta-Skills for Agent Harness Design in Test-Time AI4AI",
      "headline": "先学习怎样搭建执行环境，再让代理解题",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:55:56Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "研究让Builder从开发集执行反馈中学习支持规则，再把冻结的规则库用于新任务的执行环境搭建，双方模型权重均不更新。在Harness-Bench与NewtonBench上，完整规则库方案的宏平均分为65.31%，无规则库Builder为56.36%，把同一规则库直接交给执行代理则为53.29%。这提示经验需要转成可执行的支持机制；但论文的固定执行预算不包含Builder搭建环境的计算成本，不能据此声称整套系统更省钱。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    },
    {
      "id": "2609.38178v1",
      "title": "Skill-Space Shooting for Autonomous Robot Policy Improvement",
      "headline": "让机器人把局部补救动作学回主策略",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:59:55Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "机器人遇到失败时，系统从已学技能中选择补救动作，将成功片段积累成训练数据。作者在四项真实机器人任务中测试；抽屉任务初始20次评估均未成功，一轮更新后，不借助补救系统的策略成功了7次。研究的关键是补救经验能否留在主策略里。实验仍依赖初始示范和人工重置场景，每种方法在每个任务上只运行一次，尚不能外推为无人值守的普遍自学习能力。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "国家统计局",
      "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202609/t20260930_1965449.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "新华社／中国政府网",
      "url": "https://www.gov.cn/lianbo/202609/content_7082398.htm"
    },
    {
      "name": "中国政府网",
      "url": "https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202609/content_7082492.htm"
    },
    {
      "name": "Anthropic GitHub release",
      "url": "https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/releases/tag/v2.1.286"
    },
    {
      "name": "极目新闻，凤凰网大风号转载",
      "url": "https://news.ifeng.com/c/8wquslCJZMP"
    },
    {
      "name": "新华社",
      "url": "https://www.news.cn/20260924/c66b5a58f458494899252a81db68c166/c.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "百度实时热榜",
      "url": "https://top.baidu.com/board?tab=realtime"
    },
    {
      "name": "俄罗斯卫星通讯社",
      "url": "https://sputniknews.cn/20261001/1073453965.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "财联社官方网易号",
      "url": "https://c.m.163.com/news/a/L84KSKHT05198CJN.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "微博／津门玄竹",
      "url": "https://weibo.com/5865955200/RkB8o6LvF?refer_flag=1001030103_"
    },
    {
      "name": "arXiv论文全文",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1"
    },
    {
      "name": "arXiv论文全文",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1"
    },
    {
      "name": "arXiv论文全文",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0926/13/00/ce9e535e93ab481eb960a8338453d14f_1620_2198_1281145.0x0.png"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0819/19/00/9663141de54248e9aa9636c127546229_1290_1720_215794.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0922/13/00/8713451141a84a1eba9080e80834f0c5_1364_2046_2553757.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/15e212375614459f9241192d96f76a4f_2500_2729_484920.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/90373ad6d1d54057a1afc88758418954_1025_4288_872411.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "良渚博物院",
      "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "良渚博物院",
      "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026685246682.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0904/10/00/1046a7f64df347b0bccf9ebf1dde9ec2_750_8660_2449082.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0817/16/00/199e5bd3ed424a0090ac058c8f640bcf_3400_4580_4745333.0x0.jpg"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动",
      "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011"
    },
    {
      "name": "秀动活动配图",
      "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0921/16/30/262b0ce8634d4a57b5486fafada7b354_3000_4500_1828862.0x0.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "local_life": {
    "shanghai": [
      {
        "time": "13:00–22:40（12:30入场；20:40–22:40为终演后物贩）",
        "title": "熊猫REMUA • 2026.10.01生诞 • 「一件白色短袖」",
        "venue": "聚一场IDOL 南京西路新世界店",
        "address": "上海市黄浦区南京西路2-68号 新世界12楼聚一场8号馆",
        "why": "生诞主题多组偶像演出。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590",
        "id": "event-0",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "上海",
        "price": "88元；78元预售已截止。销售至20:40。",
        "restrictions": "售票截止不代表可迟到入场。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311590"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0926/13/00/ce9e535e93ab481eb960a8338453d14f_1620_2198_1281145.0x0.png"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "15:00–17:00",
        "title": "《梁祝 · 黄河 · 鸿雁》 东方传世名曲与影视金曲音乐会",
        "venue": "上海保利大剧院",
        "address": "嘉定新城白银路159号",
        "why": "以室内乐演绎《梁祝》《鸿雁》及影视金曲。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026",
        "id": "event-1",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "上海",
        "price": "180元起。",
        "restrictions": "上海保利大剧院小剧场；15:59是售票截止，15:00开演。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/308026"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0819/19/00/9663141de54248e9aa9636c127546229_1290_1720_215794.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "18:20–19:50（18:00入场）",
        "title": "心率研究所ONEMAN TOUR「心率逃逸计划」巡演上海站",
        "venue": "育音堂小镇 C厅 YUYINTOWN CUBE ",
        "address": "上海市长宁区昭化路658号CPARK.D栋 地下一层",
        "why": "48元普通票提供较低门槛的单团偶像现场，开演较早。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123",
        "id": "event-2",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "上海",
        "price": "普票48元；VIP128元、SVIP328元。销售至19:00。",
        "restrictions": "VIP和SVIP权益不同；海报分别限20位、10位。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311123"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0922/13/00/8713451141a84a1eba9080e80834f0c5_1364_2046_2553757.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "20:30–23:00（18:00开门入场）",
        "title": "致敬英国摇滚传奇殿堂 皇后乐队之夜THE BRITISH INVASION: QUEEN NIGHT",
        "venue": "珍珠剧场 THE PEARL",
        "address": "上海市虹口区乍浦路471号靠近武进路",
        "why": "以皇后及英伦摇滚经典为主题，适合成人夜间现场；须接受致敬演出及不保座安排。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015",
        "id": "event-3",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "上海",
        "price": "预售150元至19:00；全价180元至22:00。",
        "restrictions": "仅限18岁及以上；驻场乐队致敬演出，非皇后乐队本人出演。不保证座位；卡座、包厢有最低消费。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/310015"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/15e212375614459f9241192d96f76a4f_2500_2729_484920.0x0.jpg"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0616/16/00/90373ad6d1d54057a1afc88758418954_1025_4288_872411.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "hangzhou": [
      {
        "time": "09:00–17:00（16:30停止入馆；展期2026年9月12日–11月29日）",
        "title": "琮谱——良渚遗址发现九十周年特展",
        "venue": "良渚博物院一楼临展厅",
        "address": "杭州市余杭区美丽洲路1号",
        "why": "全国39家文博单位的124件（组）玉琮集中呈现五千年发展脉络；国庆公益讲解场次以馆内电子屏为准。",
        "source_name": "良渚博物院",
        "source_url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html",
        "id": "event-4",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "杭州",
        "price": "临展免费。",
        "restrictions": "个人无需预约，凭有效身份证件入馆；团队须预约。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "良渚博物院",
            "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026105243109.html"
          },
          {
            "name": "良渚博物院",
            "url": "https://www.lzmuseum.cn/LiangBoXinWen/2026685246682.html"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "19:00开演（页面列至21:00，主办须知注明散场时间不定；普通票18:20入场）",
        "title": "王澳楠EVE「少女心事」首张EP同名巡演-杭州站",
        "venue": "蛙厂RMMF·杭州·新天地店",
        "address": "浙江省杭州市拱墅区新北街85号G2-203-1号",
        "why": "首张EP同名巡演，以个人创作和少女心绪为主线。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888",
        "id": "event-5",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "杭州",
        "price": "早鸟168元、全价198元、EVIP258元；销售至20:00。",
        "restrictions": "强实名，人、证、票一致；不支持转赠。全站席，EVIP无专属区。散场时间不定，勿按21:00必散场安排。EVIP 16:00–17:30取号、18:00入场；权益及周边须现场领取，逾期不补。签售凭证为EVIP手环及实体周边，遗失不补。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307888"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0904/10/00/1046a7f64df347b0bccf9ebf1dde9ec2_750_8660_2449082.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "19:30–21:00",
        "title": "盛世长歌《我和我的祖国》传世经典作品钢琴音乐会",
        "venue": "浙江省文化馆小剧场",
        "address": "杭州市拱墅区武林路77号小剧场",
        "why": "刘思思以钢琴演绎《浏阳河》《梁祝》《我和我的祖国》等作品。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760",
        "id": "event-6",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "杭州",
        "price": "100元起；销售至21:00。",
        "restrictions": "曲目以现场为准。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/307760"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0817/16/00/199e5bd3ed424a0090ac058c8f640bcf_3400_4580_4745333.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "time": "20:00–22:00",
        "title": "「弦·无界」友北五重奏 加拿大融合爵士",
        "venue": "酒球会",
        "address": "杭州市西湖区万塘路262号酒球会(杭州店)",
        "why": "独弦琴、二胡等亚洲乐器与北美爵士融合。",
        "source_name": "秀动",
        "source_url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011",
        "id": "event-7",
        "category": "event",
        "date": "2026-10-01",
        "city": "杭州",
        "price": "预售128元至20:00；全价168元至22:00。",
        "restrictions": "销售截止不等于迟到入场许可。",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "秀动",
            "url": "https://www.showstart.com/event/311011"
          },
          {
            "name": "秀动活动配图",
            "url": "https://s2.showstart.com/img/2026/0921/16/30/262b0ce8634d4a57b5486fafada7b354_3000_4500_1828862.0x0.jpg"
          }
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "papers": [
    {
      "id": "2609.38147v1",
      "title": "Thinking Before Thinking: Scaling Agentic Inference Through Meta-Reasoning",
      "headline": "把任务调度单独交给一个会推理的控制器",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:57:25Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "论文将任务执行与调度分开：工作代理处理具体任务，控制器依据持久记忆与剩余预算决定下一步。作者在ProgramBench上报告，使用GPT-5.5的系统取得71.5%的平均逐题测试通过率，对照Codex为58.0%；这不是整题完成率。控制器调用也计入预算，但小预算下额外调度成本会拖累表现。对长任务系统，更值得检验的是调度收益能否覆盖额外开销。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38147v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    },
    {
      "id": "2609.38143v1",
      "title": "Learning Meta-Skills for Agent Harness Design in Test-Time AI4AI",
      "headline": "先学习怎样搭建执行环境，再让代理解题",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:55:56Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "研究让Builder从开发集执行反馈中学习支持规则，再把冻结的规则库用于新任务的执行环境搭建，双方模型权重均不更新。在Harness-Bench与NewtonBench上，完整规则库方案的宏平均分为65.31%，无规则库Builder为56.36%，把同一规则库直接交给执行代理则为53.29%。这提示经验需要转成可执行的支持机制；但论文的固定执行预算不包含Builder搭建环境的计算成本，不能据此声称整套系统更省钱。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38143v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    },
    {
      "id": "2609.38178v1",
      "title": "Skill-Space Shooting for Autonomous Robot Policy Improvement",
      "headline": "让机器人把局部补救动作学回主策略",
      "published_at": "2026-09-29T17:59:55Z",
      "listing_date": "2026-09-30",
      "version": "v1",
      "category": "paper",
      "summary": "机器人遇到失败时，系统从已学技能中选择补救动作，将成功片段积累成训练数据。作者在四项真实机器人任务中测试；抽屉任务初始20次评估均未成功，一轮更新后，不借助补救系统的策略成功了7次。研究的关键是补救经验能否留在主策略里。实验仍依赖初始示范和人工重置场景，每种方法在每个任务上只运行一次，尚不能外推为无人值守的普遍自学习能力。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "name": "arXiv论文全文",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1"
        }
      ],
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/html/2609.38178v1",
      "source_name": "arXiv"
    }
  ]
}